Obligations and HMX:
The Questions Raised by the

Global War on Terrorism — By Joe Carter on October 28, 2004 at 11:38 am

Sen. John Kerry has a new political campaign ad in which he criticizes President Bush for failing to secure 380 tons of explosives in Iraq. The script of the television ad



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  • me says:

    Media bias is the real issue in this campaign’s October Surprise. Its all in how you FRAME the question!
    The media and even Republicans are asking the wrong questions about the missing weapons material.
    Instead of focusing on whether they were there before the war or after, the better questions for the media are:
    1) If Bush had NOT went in at all, HOW MUCH HCX/weapons munitions would be missing? 100%!!! Is the glass half full or half empty? The Dems are focusing on the latter. Republicans need to focus on the former. The troops have found alot MORE than the amount said to have been lost since the invasion. We would have no control over ANY of it, plus Saddam would be in direct position to sell those materials to terrorist groups, if there was no Iraq war. It is like blaming the fire department for rushing to a fire of a neighborhood, and blaming them or the fire department chief for incompetence after they save most of the neighborhood but lose one house to the fire. If they did not fight it at all, 100% of the houses are lost! Whether the job of guarding them was perfect or not, not going in, Kerry’s favored position, a wrong war wrong time wrong place, cannot improve the safety of anyone relative to going in, missing some, and garnering tons more AND removing Hussein!
    2) Since HMX and many of the fabled munitions WERE classified as WMD by the United Nations, the missing point is that the media all along argued no WMD existed, so the war was built on lies, but obviously if these could have been used to build WMD, and were in and of themseleves classified as such *BY* the UN, Bush’s Iraq argument has been proven, there were WMD’s in Iraq! Why is the media ignoring this? Kerry is proving by admitting those weapons were there to be used by terrorists on Americans and the world that Iraq and Saddam *WAS* a threat worth removing, ASAP!
    3) Did the United Nations try to control our election by helping dump this October Surprise? Is that fair? What about CBS, who last time dropped phony documents on us, and this time planned to run this story without giving Bush a fair chance to respond on Sunday night, October 31? This 100% negative against Bush painting of issues by making them be repeated again and again, like Abu Grahib, is unfair to Bush. Does anyone believe this all is happening by accident? Now old Halliburton charges are the top story, the Terrorist video threatening us all is looked at for a few seconds, and dropped. Could it be that that “story” would help Bush and these others hurt him? Why are there literally NO bad stories on Kerry? With tons of arguments against him from Vietnam era issues on down the line, the whole issue is ignored. For several elections, 100% of the “scandals” are against Republican candidates, from the 92 surprise on Bush 41 Weinberger indictments, to the DWI in 2000, but none on Clinton in either campaign, none on Gore and none on Kerry! What gives? Republicans should DEMAND balance and fairness and argue the media is doing another CBS type fiasco…

  • ~DS~ says:

    C3 Osama bin Laden, appearing healthy as a horse, just appeared on tape speaking directly to the American people. I’ll bet you 10,000 dollars he wasn’t speaking from Iraq.
    I truly am not that concerned about him[Osama]. I know he is on the run. I was concerned about him, when he had taken over a country.” Bush 2002

  • C3 says:

    I’m sorry DS…
    I don’t get what you are saying.
    Was Osama speaking the same as a presidential address to you? You seem ecstatic that he appeared so healthy.
    Can you just answer some of the questions from my previous post. Or are you pulling a kerry here?

  • C3 says:

    One other question DS/Kerry:
    Is Osama on the DNC campaign trail?
    Between Osama and Clinton I think you guys have this thing won… Good to see the Democratic party looking so good and healthy.
    You all work together so well… Like ying and yang.

  • ~DS~ says:

    C3 I’m extremely pissed off that he’s even alive, let alone healthy you idiot. I lost eight good friends and some co-workers in 9-11. Osama is thought to be in the Pakistan/Afghani border…And…we’re fighting in Iraq?
    And what’s even stranger is you’re defending that we’re in Iraq with all your might and hoping to re-elect the guy who said he’s ‘not concerned about Osama’! Am I getting through to you?

  • Joe Carter says:

    Tgirsch,
    Hey, Joe, you’d better get about the business of discrediting David Kay.
    Discrediting Kay over what? His claim that Saddam moved WMD’s to Syria? (I’m sure you believe Kay is credible on that, right?)
    Or are you now saying that this counts as Saddam having WMDs since that is what Kay claims? (I’m sure Kay has changed your mind, right?)
    As for “Game. Set. Match” I think that Kay’s contention that the military was there is backed up by the Army Major who says that his unit was there destroying the munitions.
    Sometimes you make it too easy. ; )

  • ~DS~ says:

    Joe the lengths you will go to protect the bumblers in the WH is sometimes breathtaking. Kay was commenting on video shot by a news crew showing the weapons in situ…sheesh.
    So now you’ve gone from:
    1. You can’t prove it to
    2. the UN is setting Bush up
    3. Saddam moved them to
    4. The Russians moved them to
    5. We destroyed them
    How about sticking with one bogus excuse long enough to pretend at least to have a shred of credibility?

  • Joe Carter says:

    DS,
    I’m extremely pissed off that he’s even alive, let alone healthy you idiot.
    While I personally wouldn’t mind seeing OBL meet his Creator and have no qualms about the US helping to speed up that process, I think the longer he remains alive the more it hurts al Queda. The longer he hides like a coward the more his potential followers will see that he is nothign but a coward and a fraud. The fact that we have only heard from him twice in the past two years shows that he’s more concerned about saving his own skin than he is about the “Jihad.”
    When he is dead — and I think that will be coming soon — he will become a martyr and be seen as a greater hero than he is now. So while I don’t like the fact that he is still breathing I think he is in the same position that Hitler was before he killed himself: more valuable to us alive than dead.

  • ~DS~ says:

    Yeah it’s great having him alive and threatening us Joe …I bet Al Qaeda is about to disband just knowing he’s still walking the Earth. We’re lucky huh?

  • Joe Carter says:

    Joe the lengths you will go to protect the bumblers in the WH is sometimes breathtaking. Kay was commenting on video shot by a news crew showing the weapons in situ…sheesh.
    I don

  • ~DS~ says:

    Joe … It’s dizzying to watch you bounce around so desperately. Although I have to admit there is some perverse pleasure in watching war aplogists twitch around spastically like a cat on a metal electrified floor as each excuse gets shoot out beneath their feet, it’s not worth it at the expense of having tons of HMX floating around…..For the record, you’re now disavowing the Russian excuse, and the Saddam moved them excuse along with the photo the DoD put out implying that, and going with the latest ‘our guys destroyed them afterall we just forgot” excuse right? Is this your final excuse or are you going to sing yet another in the next day or so?

  • Joe Carter says:

    DS,
    Yeah it’s great having him alive and threatening us Joe …
    How exactly is he a “threat”? He has no more funding, no base of operations, he can’t contact his subordinates without us finding out about it. Why do you think he doesn’t release a new tape every week? Because he is taking a risk by exposing himself. He realizes that he is being upstaged by Zarqawi and is making a desperate attempt to show that he is still relevant.
    Notice, for example, how he finally admitted to attacking the towers. That threw a monkey wrench in “the Jews did it” and other assorted conspiracy theories and undercut his cause. He is probably ticked off that Bush has told the world that while he is still a wanted man he is an irrelevant coward. That must have stung enough for him to come out of hiding. But he isn’t a much of a threat anymore.

  • Joe Carter says:

    DS,
    it’s not worth it at the expense of having tons of HMX floating around…
    Let me ask again since you ignored the question the first time. Are you now admitting that Saddam had WMDs?

  • C3 says:

    I see you have regressed to name calling. Thanks for your personal story about 9/11. . . I one also, but prefer not to share it with you.
    If you want to take a one liner out of the Bush text – that’s basically what you’re basing your whole argument on…
    Of course Bush is concerened with capturing and/or killing OBL… But he also seems more concerned with yours, mine, and our troops safety than anything else. That cannot be said of your man “Kerry”.
    Kerry is more concerned with politicizing every issue regarding Iraq and the war on terror just to get his traitorous ass into the WH. He has no stance on any of this, except to say that we need to build a real coalition… To do what exactly? To discredit the coalition that already exists. That’s his stance on the issue. What does that even mean. Does he have any plan whatsoever with any real issues that plague us today. . . or is he just spewing political rhetoric for his own advancement?
    DS, can you just address the questions posed to you earlier…
    Here they are again for your consideration:
    With the new video tape of Osama Bin Laden being broadcast on your beloved “Al Jazeera”, given what he said,
    if you were John Kerry-(President Elect) would you:
    a) give in to the demands of the terrorist-(Osama) and cut and run?
    b) stay in Iraq, defeat the insurgents, and help stabalize the situation?
    c) hunt down and capture/kill Osama-(now that we know for sure that he is still alive)?
    d) play like France, put your tail between your legs and scurry home – and hope that the terrorists don’t come over here again to kill more of us?
    These are real questions that need real answers. Are you up for it DS… or are you just going to sit there on your level playing field and cry?
    You/Kerry may be able to persuade someone to vote in your direction if you can address these questions honestly without interjecting “Bush bashing” into your answers.
    What will you/Kerry do if elected?

  • C3 says:

    sorry – type-o fixes from line one…
    “DS, I see you have regressed to name calling. Thanks for your personal story about 9/11. . . I have one also, but prefer not to share it with you.”

  • Mark O says:

    Larry,
    Nobody here is rejoicing over Iraqi civilian deaths. It seems you don’t grok why we might have gone into Iraq. Recall after 9/11 Bush said that we were at war against state sponsored terrorism. Saddam’s state was in bed with terrorists. He certainly was making no effort to track them down and stop them. Hell, he paid $25k to each family of a dead bomber in Israel. That is why Iraq mattered. He managed to convice the world he had active WMD programs. He planned to revitalize him once his massive UN bribery operation brought the sanctions (which were failing) down. Get it? If you have any evidence that the US military directly targeted civilians, it’s to me (and would be to everyone else).
    ~DS~
    I quibbled with your analogy because it didn’t reflect the basic innumeracy of those who think the “missing” HMX/MDX is an issue.
    Regarding Bush’s comment which you quote about OBL, you are quoting out of context. He was pointing out that OBL by being forced into hiding has been rendered ineffectual. If you pay attention, we are still looking for him. But you will also observe he hasn’t exactly been burning up the air-waves drumming up support for his cause. His current status (missing, with tapes that may or may not be new, or anonymously dead somewhere) may actually be preferrable strategically to his public death or trial and execution.
    It strikes me that the main difference of opinion on the Iraq war stems from a disagreement of what war we are fighting. Some think it is a war on al-Qaeda only. Some think it is war not just against al-Qaeda but all states who sponsor terror. That is the core of the disagreement as far as I can tell. There are those who think the 2nd war is too ambitious and too costly. We lost more lives in 9/11 than Pearl Harbor. WWII cost us half of our GDP for what, 5 years? So far, this war is still being fought on the cheap.
    Kerry is for fighting the first war. Bush is fighting the 2nd.

  • ~DS~ says:

    Mark I’d like to believe he’s ‘ineffectual’. The fact is there have been some pretty terrible attacks since he escaped Rummy’s brilliant strategy at Tora Bora and historically, after he makes an appearance, another attack follows. I only hope it won’t happen this time.

  • C3 says:

    Joe,
    DS ignores all questions that weaken his party-line stance.
    Isn’t that the level playing field you speak of DS?
    Ignoring the questions will not make them go away DS.

  • Anonymous says:

    One more try DS…
    Give it a shot. Answer a few of questions. . .
    With the new video tape of Osama Bin Laden being broadcast on “Al Jazeera”, given what he said,
    if you were John Kerry-(President Elect) would you:
    a) give in to the demands of the terrorist-(Osama) and cut and run?
    b) stay in Iraq, defeat the insurgents, and help stabalize the situation?
    c) hunt down and capture/kill Osama-(now that we know for sure that he is still alive)?
    d) play like France, put your tail between your legs and scurry home – and hope that the terrorists don’t come over here again to kill more of us?
    These are real questions that need real answers. Are you up for it DS… or are you just going to sit there on your level playing field and cry?
    You/Kerry may be able to persuade someone to vote in your direction if you can address these questions honestly without interjecting “Bush bashing” into your answers.
    What will you/Kerry do if elected?

  • ~DS~ says:

    C3 I think I’d put everything including the kicthen sink into Afghanistan near the Pakistan border and hunt those guys down. As far as Iraq, we’re so screwed there I have no idea what to do. Let them have elections in Jan and maybe we can withdraw gracefully hoping the nation doesn’t shortly implodes afterward is our best bet.
    I’m not going to pick on you anymore Joe. I appreciate your good nature and you putting up with this whole nasty mess of the explosives. There’s no point in me being a poor sport. The losers in this aren’t you or the WH, it’s whoever gets attacked with that stuff. I admire your loyalty, I just think it’s misplaced and a bit Orwellian. Have a good evening and perhaps we’ll know more tomorrow ok?

  • C3 says:

    DS – Thanks for your honest answer to 2 of the questions. That is my main concern with Kerry and his followers – He just doesn’t know what to do, given the opportunity. If you have a bit of vision you can see that Iraq will be better off than it has ever been (at least since the “Thief of Bahgdad” days) in the near future – but only if we stay and help them to achieve “a free society”. The mess (as you call it) will truly be created if Kerry is elected and he starts waivering and waffling over Iraq. Realistically, leaving Iraq soon after the elections are held there, is the stupidist and most naive thing I’ve heard from you yet… and will most certainly solidify the terrorists strong holds in that country. This is going to take several years of perserverance. . .
    Could you just imagine if after Hitler fell in Germany, we just said…”OK, time to go – wish y’all the best. Good luck.”
    Yeah… good plan DS!
    It seems from reading your posts -DS- that you are a “glass is half empty” kind of guy. Your allegiance to the traitor-(Kerry), the UN and the IAEA are blurring your vision for a better tomorrow.
    You are truly misguided – Maybe you should look to your own country for the truth instead of a bunch of foreigners who hate your country and what it stands for – (Freedom and Justice). . .
    We -DS – live in the least Orwellian of societies on the planet.
    BTW, I don’t think Joe really feels threatened by your picking on him. It seems that you might have just flamed out, and, can’t really keep up with Joe’s fact based analisys’ of any given situation.
    Hope that half empty glass of whatever, tastes good to you.

  • Terry says:

    DS Wrote:
    “Terry I’d draw the line at something like “White House Penetrated by German agents and attacked Peru by mistake based on faulty Intel and spoon fed by the German Agents while letting Hitler run amok” for example.”
    Uh . . . that makes no sense at all DS. It’s gibberish. Is there some kind of coded reference to Jewish neocons in there? Or Al-Quaeda agents in the White house? For a minute I thought you were going to throw in Willy Wonka and the Oompa-Loompa’s. Or do you think that’s a meaningfull response to my question:”Given the following actions by the US in WW2 when would you have demanded a change in administrations? Or would you have given them a pass?”
    I suspect that you think the global context of GWOT & WWII would make a difference, but you dodged the question. Seems to be habit with you.
    Why don’t you vote for the guy McCain’s endorsing? At one time you say you prefered him for Prez over Bush. Don’t you trust his judgement?

  • Larry Lord says:

    I’m gonna do a Carter-style fisking, Mark O., “just because” …
    “Recall after 9/11 Bush said that we were at war against state sponsored terrorism.”
    I recall him saying “Osama Bin Laden, dead or alive.”
    “Saddam’s state was in bed with terrorists. He certainly was making no effort to track them down and stop them.”
    So 100,000 Iraqi civilians had be killed because Saddam’s counter-terrorism intelligence wasn’t up to our standards?
    The evidence to suggest Saddam ever supported fundamentalist Islamic terrorism was weak, to put it charitably.
    “Hell, he paid $25k to each family of a dead bomber in Israel.”
    So freaking what? Chicken feed compared to the contributions of Americans to support Israeli aggression against Palestinians.
    “If you have any evidence that the US military directly targeted civilians, it’s news to me (and would be to everyone else).”
    It doesn’t make any difference to me whether innocent people whose deaths are the direct and INEVITABLE result of our government’s actions are “targeted”. The cities these people and their children live in are “directly targeted” and bombed and shot at all the time by coalition forces.

  • ~DS~ says:

    I wonder if these kids hit in our show piece fire works show called “Shock and Awe” were terrorists? I can’t imagine why the Iraqi’s don’t fall to their knees thanking us!
    http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://aztlan.net/holdingtolife.jpg&imgrefurl=http://aztlan.net/iraqichildrenhorror.htm&h=276&w=409&sz=20&tbnid=AgXB1rBcspwJ:&tbnh=81&tbnw=120&start=5&prev=/images%3Fq%3Diraqi%2Bcasualties%26hl%3Den%26lr%3D%26ie%3DUTF-8%26sa%3DG
    Maybe that six year old girl whose dead in her uncle’s arms, her right foot blown off leaving a bunch of bloody tendons hanging out, was holding an RPG with sarin in it huh?

  • C3 says:

    Oh, Okay DS… Your conservative views shine through clear as day. Don’t kid yourself DS… I don’t want to have to resort to calling you an idiot or a lame brain now.
    You are going to vote for a guy who wants to raise your taxes, he wants the government to control your med. care, his voting record on defense is as liberal as it gets, he stands to the left of Kennedy on almost everything, he’s for gun control, I mean against it, I mean for it, Is that a picture of him hunting in fatigues? You’re not really sure where he stands on an array of issues-(because he doesn’t know where he stands)…. It goes on and on and on…
    Yup – you are a true conservative DS.
    BTW, Kerry’s not your typical liberal – He’s THE prototypical liberal.
    You lame brained idiot… Give me a break!
    DS writes:
    “But historically, after OBL makes a public statement there is often an attack.”
    Then should you credit the Bush admin. with thwarting all of the attacks that should have taken place after OBL’s 5 previous public statements since 9/11. . .
    That would mean that you’d have to give Bush some credit for doing something right…and he’s a conservative. Yeah – you probably shouldn’t.
    It’s a fine line you have to walk to be DS. Taking both sides on several issues. Pretending to have conservative views.
    Sounds like someone else we know.

  • ~DS~ says:

    C3 why the hell are we in Iraq if we’re after OBL?

  • C3 says:

    Larry writes/answers:
    Hell, he paid $25k to each family of a dead bomber in Israel.
    “So freaking what?”
    You are a sick bastard Larry… You sympathize with the cause of terrorists to help validate your points. When was the last time an Israeli blew himself up in a crowded discotech or on a bus. . .???
    Sorry DS, I take it back…
    Larry is the Lame Brained Idiot.
    The problem is that Larry doesn’t understand who the bad guys really are. Larry, the troops do everything in their power not to involve civilians. It’s the terrorists who hide behind those children that deserve your ire… not our troops. But your partisanship just wont allow for that to happen, will it?
    You should be a propagandist for Palestinian terrorists Larry. Oh, nevermind, you already are. I’m sure terrorists everywhere are happy to have you on their side.
    You are a truly misguided JACK-ASS Larry!

  • ~DS~ says:

    TY C3, now why are we in iraq if we’re after OBL? Doesn’t it make more sense to be in southern Afghanistan with tens of thousands of troops instead of Iraq?

  • C3 says:

    We’re after all terrorists DS, not only OBL.
    Don’t YOU already know that. Have you been on vacation for the last 3 years. Please spare me on the “No terrorists in Iraq” speech. Saddam and his regime were terrorists and he supported terrorism. Larry already validated that one for you! If you want to dispute the way that the GWOT is being fought, then you and 45% or so, of Americans have that right. But don’t kid yourself DS – It would be more like 10% of Americans, if it wasn’t for partisan politics.

  • ~DS~ says:

    Ok C3, but doesn’t it make sense to go after the terrorists that actually attacked us and threaten to do so in the future with more vigor than alleged terrorists in Iraq who have not attacked us?

  • Larry Lord says:

    Mark O writes
    “You are a sick bastard Larry… You sympathize with the cause of terrorists to help validate your points.”
    You’ve got to be kidding. First, I admit that I sympathize with just about anyone who is suffering and dying because they happened to be born in a screwed-up place. I don’t condone terrorists blowing up innocent people. But I don’t condemn people for reacting violently to the insane world they live in. That certainly seems to be what’s going on in Palestine. I’ve said before that Palestinian suicide bombers would get a lot more sympathy if they went to a tall hill somewhere and blew themselves up. But let’s face it: they are at war with Israel and Israel has better toys.
    The “point” I was trying to “validate” is merely that because Saddam Hussein allegedly gives $25 to the families of dead Palestinians does not justify the killing and crippling of a hundred thousand innocent Iraqis. It’s that simple.
    Bear in mind that Saddam Hussein is in jail and the killing of innocent Iraqis at the hands of coalition forces continues. And by all accounts there are more terrorists in Iraq now than there ever were before and it’s likely they have their hands on more dangerous weapons than they ever had. And George Bush is responsible for this situation, not Osama Bin Laden. How can you possibly believe otherwise, unless in your heart you don’t acknowledge the humanity of Arabs and Muslims (yes, such people do exist and guess what — they vote Republican).

  • Terry says:

    DS wrote-
    “Terry imo getting conend by a known conman who now appears to have been operating for Iranian Intel and being goaded into attacking a country that wasn’t a combatant in 9-11 is gounds for replacing the senior leadership who got snookered. So if someone did that in WW2 I’d think the samr thing. I’m in 2004 of course so there’s not a hell of a lot I can do about that. But I’m interested in your take or anyone else who cares to chime, what does a leader and his advisors have to do in war time mistake wise to warrant in your minds being replaced?”
    But you still haven’t answered the question. I’m very open and direct, not dodgy. I’d give the political administrations of the allies in WWII a complete pass. In some of the cases I might be happy if incompetent officers got the sack, but a complete pass on Dresden, Hiroshiam, and Nagasaki among other possible mistakes. Because they won. When you win, you get to shape events rather than be shaped by them. When you win, it’s your vision of the future that prevails, not the enemy’s.
    To let you know where I’m coming from, I work in a scientific field but I spent several years in college doing the liberal arts thing. Lots of history & lit courses. In English I specialized in rhetorical analysis. I’m a registered independant and I have voted for the Libertarian for president twice since 1980. I have never voted for a Democrat for president.
    I thought the whole Bosnia/Yugoslavia was not our business, but once we were in I wanted a complete NATO victory. Because when your the world’s last superpower you can’t appear weak. I did not support McCain for the republican nomination in 2000 because I thought he was temperamentally unsuited for the job. He was, I thought, too apt to be ruled by anger. Also his “American Greatness” theme was too fascistic for me.
    Since September 11, 2001 we have destroyed two of the world’s most violence prone, anti-American regimes, while suffering less than 2,000 casualties ourselves and inflicting a remarkably small number of civilian casualties on the enemy. And your response is “throw the bums out”?
    You ask “what does a leader and his advisors have to do in war time mistake wise to warrant in your minds being replaced?”
    My answer is lose. We have had two brilliant military campaigns so far to effect regime change in Afghanistan and Iraq. I would like to see more, rather than fewer, terrorist regimes put on notice. If you want to see what an American loss and retreat looks like for us and the rest of the world, review the decade of the 1970′s.

  • ~DS~ says:

    I bet we’re winning those Iraqi hearts and minds huh?http://groups.msn.com/EvolutionvCreation/offtopic.msnw?action=get_message&mview=0&ID_Message=17157&
    LastModified=4675495317266393452

  • Mark O says:

    Larry,
    I did not call you a “sick bastard”, please review the names on the posts. However, I would point out that you seem to also have not read all of my previous post (5:07pm today). If you did, you seem to have missed the point. By all apearances you and ~DS~ both are supporting what one might call war #1 (the war on al-Qaeda). Everyone else is here talking about war #2 following the “Bush Doctrine” and has thought the war is against “terrorists and those who harbor them”. When you make your rhetorical points to justify war #1 it doesn’t impress when the rest of us are talking about war #2. Your arguments just keep missing the target.
    This is why I think ~DS~ keeps insisting that the Iraq war is a total snafu. If we were just fighting war #1 he would be correct. Since we aren’t, it isn’t.

  • ~DS~ says:

    Mork that’s simply illogical. Iraq did not attack us, they had nothing to do with 9-11, and it turns out they posed no threat to us. But the 20,000-50,000 poeple we’ve killed in Iraq are still dead. Every surviving relative is now a potential Al Qaeda recruit. And OBL is making movies reportedly from either the southern area of Afghanistan, or the border between Iran and Afghanistan. If the latter, we helped Iran by letting their operative play us like a harp. If that’s not grounds for seriously considering a change of employees, wtf would be in your view?

  • Terry says:

    DS-
    You wrote “Would it be OK now if you gave me your thoughts on my question, which I did by the way ask first, since I’ve answered yours?
    What does a leader and/or his advisors have to do mistake wise, before you would support replacing them with someone else and giving that someone else a shot?”
    I answered this question in my last post very specifically. To quote myself:
    “You ask “what does a leader and his advisors have to do in war time mistake wise to warrant in your minds being replaced?”
    My answer is lose. We have had two brilliant military campaigns so far to effect regime change in Afghanistan and Iraq. I would like to see more, rather than fewer, terrorist regimes put on notice. If you want to see what an American loss and retreat looks like for us and the rest of the world, review the decade of the 1970′s.”
    You still have not answered my question, so I’ll repeat it:
    Given the following actions by the US in WW2 when would you have demanded a change in administrations? Or would you have given them a pass?
    -Failed to foresee the attack on Pearl Harbor: 2,500 US casualties
    -Concentration of resources on the European Theatre though Germany had never attacked the US mainland
    -MacArthur’s doomed retreat to Mindanao
    -The disastrous landing at Dieppe in 1942 (3000+ casualties)
    -The April 1944 practice D-Day landing in England that was attacked by U boats (600 US dead)
    -The firebombong of Dresden by US & Brits (100,000+ civilians dead)
    -Dropping Atomic bombs on two militarily insignificant Japanese cities (150,000 civilians dead)

  • Mark O says:

    ~DS~
    You’re proving my point with your response. You think the war is about al-Qaeda only. That is why you think Iraq was a bad idea. Correct?
    I and most of those who disagree with you don’t think the war was “just” about al-Qaeda. Reread the “Bush Doctrine”. You keep sounding like a Euclidean geometer pontificating in an non-Euclidean world. We are operating on different assumptions. I’m not illogical. I have a different set of assumptions.
    And I don’t think that al-Qaeda is going to be grooming too many recruits in Iraq lately. al-Qaeda is attacking Iraqis more frequently than US soldiers recently. That doesn’t generate popular support. More and more, the Iraqis want al-Qaeda to get out of Dodge. It doesn’t help that al-Qaeda isn’t offering to help rebuild either.

  • ~DS~ says:

    Well Mark, I’ve been asking this question for a long time here and in other forums. I’ve been asking it on the Internet of true believer Bush supporters for months now. I’ve asked it in many forms such as my last few posts where I said “What would a leader and/or his advisors have to do mistake wise for you to vote against them?” I’ve asked it politely, I’ve asked it aggressively. I’ve asked evangelicals and neocons, old fashioned fiscal conservatives and new fangled nationalists. I first started asking it to help out a friend who is doing her dissertation in sociology a few months ago.
    Would you believe not one strong Bush supporter has given me a single solid answer in all that time? Most have avoided the question entirely Mark as you just did for about the thrid time. Oh I’ve had answers, but they’ve been ridiculous ones. One lady told me that “if Bush had come back from Vietnam and betrayed his fellow soldiers I’d vote against him,” an obvious dig not at Bush but at his challenger. One guy told me piously that if Bush lied about an affair he’d vote against him, another dig at someone who is not Bush. One participant answered “He would have to start a nuclear war by hitting the button accidentally.”
    Terry just answered that Bush would have to “lose the war in Iraq or Afghanistan,” an answer which puts the resolution safely outside of the current timeframe and places it within the context of subjectiveness, not to mention allowing Bush to not be held accountable as long as we have troops in country, no matter what the progress of the conflict, because they might ‘still win.’
    (It’s interesting than when asked about problems in Iraq the WH generally responds with something like “We have to stay the course, to pull out now would give the insurgents the idea that we’re not their to stay”…Folks…the insurgents LIVE their. They know we’re not there to stay! They’ll wait a hundred years for us to leave. Are we planning on staying that long?)
    A few people have mentioned with no further explanation, “Yes he’s made a few mistakes, BUT” and gone on to explain why the mistakes don’t matter. But that’s not the question folks. The question is, what kind of serious mistake in foreign policy could the Bush WH, or any other leader or a leader’s advisors do in the WH, do in principle that would persuade you to vote against them?
    I would suggest that starting a war with a country on premises that that country is the most serious threat in the world to the US, and finding out you’re dead wrong while not hitting a known threat with the same or equal resources is a pretty freaking huge mistake and one worthy of being replaced.
    I would argue that being penetrated by an operative of a foreign Intel service working with a country on the terrorist watch list who is a known con man and who passes top secret information on to that nation due to his access to the WH is grounds for voting against that WH.
    But what I’m asking here is what would your criteria be?
    And the fact that hardly anyone even tries to answer that question with anything besides ridiculously vague answers like Terry gave, let alone with an honest candid answer they would apply equally to any WH, is disturbing because it implies that among some Bush supporters there is nothing plausible he can do or could have done which would persuade them to vote against him!
    If so, what is the point of arguing about the merit of his decisions and policies? If some of you are of the opinion that Bush is, literally, inerrant and you can state no reasonable no external data or events which would cause you to reverse that a priori assumption, then I have to wonder, what are we doing here folks?
    Why would you bother to even argue the facts and the inferences and pretend to be weighing those items against each other and posing like you’re actually coming to a rational decision?
    I’m asking you, what reasonably possible set of decisions could the President make that would cause you to vote for John Kerry in this election? If you can’t answer that with an honest answer, then you’re simply not capable of making rational decisions and you’ve already given over control of your life to a politician whom you will support in this election no matter what he does. That’s fine if that’s the case, it is your life, but it’s dishonest to portray yourself as rational, for you have left the realm of reason and you’re operating under similar mental provisions as a member of any cult in which the Leader is held as inerrant.

  • ~DS~: I didn’t bother to read the full bit; so if already covered – my fault. The KTSP video shows only some of what you want and none of the rest.
    - IAEA seal: Yep sealed, 1 bunker out of only 9 verified *after* the reported 200-250 tons of munitions were supposed to have been demolished by our guys. Point to you – but see the ventilation shaft issue.
    - The *total* metric tonnage on hand was 201.something rad the iaea report yourself.
    - The RDX and PETN were stored in the same unsealed bunker (#47)
    - The plasitc crates in the video are not any of the missing explosives (check the IAEA report)
    - The Wooden crate shown cannot be HMX or RDX
    - The Drums shown have the possibility of being HMX or RDX (which came in drums) though others have made educated guesses based on the markings that the drums contained nitrocellulose (IIRC)
    - We do not have at this time a full and accurate inventory of the bunkers in question. All we have is a letter to Baradei asking where they went. This is substantially different from an inventory of the bunkers in question.
    - Lastly, via the DOD photo we know large tractors were in the area (1 bunker away in the photo). This would mean that roughly 10-12 such tractors could evacuate all the relevant material not counting the single sealed bunker in the video. Humping 20 odd tons of load is a common, less than 1 day, experience for your run-of-the-mill truck driver in America. Very quick and simple, either pre or post war.
    Of course even if we accept the uncorrobated assumption that 400 US tons are missing this gives the military a 99.8% success rate in the munitions recovered *and* destroyed thus far.
    Given that there are simply too many benign scenarios for which we don’t have the facts to support or refute I think the Lady doth protest too much.

  • ~DS~ says:

    John Q Public is another interesting example of the phenomena I’m talking about. Now he wants to see video of all the material or he will ignore the past sets of falsehoods he’s been fed and assume ‘victory’. he also points out that while one single sarin shell is worth 200 billion and 100 US lives, 380 tons of explosives is ‘no big deal’. This is puzzling to those of who feel that reality is really the best way to approach dealing with the universe. Let’s recap:
    Well consider the fiasco that this thrread started with. Almost 400 tons of HE turn up missing indicitive of the lack of proper planning and of being undermanned, the WH quickly states that ‘there is a strong probability it was removed by Saddam’. But that didn’t stick so it was redo time. The next story was that the amounts were exaggerated.
    Joe repeated the WH/DoD line asserting that there was only three tons of RDX to start with-tuck this assertion away as we will use it later. And repeated the rumor denied by even the DoD that the “Russians almost certainly moved the remaining material to Syria”. And even laughed at me and others when we suggested the undersecretary was not being truthful about what happened. And then the rejoinder that after all there were ventilation shafts in the bunkers…
    Well, lo and behold video evidence emerged showing a sealed bunker bearing an IEAE seal being opened on live video and this report had been filed long ago, not to mention the station is owned by a staunch republican. Would the WH have gotten away with lying it if that video hadn’t been in existence? Probably, at least among the true believers.
    I think it’s safe to say that Joe and the regs here would have simply accepted their word without question.
    So the crew is interviewed and mentions that there were several other bunkers in the vicinity also sealed. UN Inspectors review the footage and call it cold, that’s the stuff!
    Meanwhile Rudolph Giuliani is cowardly blaming the troops while the DoD is releasing a pic showing an empty Iraqi flat bed next to one of the bunkers (Which it turns out wasn’t even in the part of Al qaqa under scrutiny). It’s a full court press folks! And both are clearly oblivious that the cover story is being undermined as they speak.
    Caught completely flatfooted by the video, the DoD and the campaign stalled. They’re cornered all right!
    But not for long. This morning we’re given a hastily arranged news conference in which a soldier claimed he had destroyed hundreds of tons of explosive material, mostly RDX, which is you recall under the previous set of stories there were only three tons of! The soldier has no proof for what he claims, and the DoD spokesperson even claims that the sealed material was not among the material in question.
    The Vice President, who recently asserted that Iraq was a ‘remarkable success’ calls it over on the stump!
    Ahh but there’s a flaw. The soldier claims he did this on April 13, 2003 and the eye witness video was shot on April 18th 2003. What will be the next set of excuses? Who knows. Fortunately about this time it turns out our sworn enemy is alive and appears on video tape and the B/C campaign is deliriously happy that the perpetrator of 9-11 is still alive and comes to their rescue knocking the story at last temporarily off the front page along with a new criminal investigation initiated by the FBI looking into contract illegalities involving Halliburton! Pretty sad when your “War President” has to breathe a huge sigh of relief that our sworn enemy is still alive, in good health, and making political points with the world!
    But what concerns us here is this dastardly sequence of events in which the story for covering their ass changes as each new twist and turn exposes their lies, and they try to recover only to get slaughtered again. And with each failure and expose that they were lying many on this board went merrily along with the party line apparently uncomprehending, or simply not caring, that the previous story had been exposed as a lie. And now the same folks that were saying a few days ago that a single obsolete sarin shell is a deadly weapon and worth the entire cost of this mess are whining that 380 tons of HE isn’t really that big a deal. The cognitive dissonance is remarkable in this one example and illustrative of the amazing lengths some hard core supporters are willing to go to in apologize for the WH screw up and the subsequent attempted white wash cover-up. This is what I’m talking about when I say that many Bush supporters-not all-display a stunning similarity to what is seen among Moonies or other hard core cult members who hold their divine leader as inerrant. If it doesn’t bother you when your lied to and mislead in rapid sequence then there really is no point in discussing facts with because there are no facts which could change your minds.

  • ~DS~: Beuatiful! Someone’s up on Friday night to play with.
    1. Where did I say I was a Bush supporter?
    2. Where did I say I wanted to see a video of “all the material” or I will ignore everything?
    3. Where did I claim “victory”?
    4. When did you ever engage reality?
    Let me help you a moment – Never, Never, Never and Never. Does that help?
    As far as “no big deal” goes how is a failure rate of 0.01%, scratch that, charitably 0.02% a “big deal”?
    I don’t pretend that you’ll answer these questions about your emotionally driven reaction to reality anymore then the last set I posed you. Scratch that – that was rude. Let me try again. With the lack of hard information known how can any individual take a hard reactionary stance given the paucity of reality involved in this circumstance? Furthermore, how can an individual grounded in reality consider it honest argumentation to pretend their opponent has made arguments they have not made?
    For your Strawmen, Dorothy, I doubt you will understand the question least of all the answer. But for the sake of my amusement you may answer regardless.
    The Loofa is in your court now.

  • ~DS~ says:

    John you sounded defensive [shrug]. If you’re not a Bush supporter my apologies and I don’t hold it against you even if you are a Bush supporter. I don’t perceive that as some kind of ‘dishonor.’
    I’ve said before and I’ll say it again, I believe reasonable people can disagree on whether or not Iraq was an honest mistake. Reasonable people can disagree on whether or not a mistake of this magnitude is grounds for voting the President and his advisors who made the error out of office. Reasonable cannot disagree on the fact that it has turned out in retrospect to be a mistake or that it is in hindsight an error and enormously costly one at that. That suggests a peculiar type of cognitive dissonance, one which I find fascinating, and one which is for the first time in my adult life found outside of fringe groups like the KKK or cult like the Moonies.
    I assumed you were a Bush supporter because you’re defending the missing explosives using the latest party talking point that ‘the missing explosives represent X percentage” of all the explosives in Iraq. You were a handy exemplar of why this is obviously a poor argument and offered yourself as a convenient canvas uopon which I could draw my thesis.
    First to address your claim about the explosives being irrelvant, that argument is wanting but it immediately highlights three glaring inconsistencies:
    1. It’s like saying President Clinton only had oral sex with 0.01% of the women he could have slept with and told the truth about matters in general 99.99% of the time. Or that the people killed in 9-11 represent only a tiny fraction of the population of the world so what’s the big deal? IOW the argument of small numbers is not enough, in and of itself, to marginalize the missing explosives past the point of relevancy.
    2. It fails to address that a series of falsehoods and misleading suggestions which preceded it form the WH/DoD. IOW it does not lend credibility to the user for it leaves the user open to charges of complicity in the cover-up which preceded it.
    3. It sidestep the reason the missing explosives are so germane in the over all perception among the dispassionate analysts that the war has been pursued using too few troops and the argument avoids the implication that the WH talking point “The world is safer without Saddam in power’ is in fact questionable. It also undercuts prior positons by many on this board where a few obsolete sarin shells represented a danger so serious it was worth the cost of 100 plus US lives and hundreds of billions of doolars to secure them.
    All these inconsistencies hurt the perception of WH competence and truthfulness(and by proxy those who parrot it), so I assume that anyone who helps them in avoiding those consequences is not fully objective and thus a likely supporter, as well as an example of the phenomena I’m researching.
    What I’m interested with here, in fact one of the reasons I’m in this forum and others like it, aside from the fact that I like many of the people here and have come to know them well enough to admire many of their qualities and that I like spirited discussion about evolution Vs IDC, the topic which attracted me to the forum initially, is to observe this phenomena of blind loyalty to the WH and explore the depth, roots, and the conditions under which that dedication can be discarded by those who profess it. IOW, what is the ‘deprogramming’ routine?
    I feel there is a palpable community of almost cult-like devotional love of the WH among the general corpus of Bush voters. Some, and again not all by any means, appear to be so emotionally attached to this administration that they’re incapable of acknowledging any sign of human error whatsoever among the cabinet and the President.
    Consider for example the recent OBL tape. It’s a dicey development for either campaign of course. True it did take some of the heat off the WH over the explosives, the attempted cover-up of the explosives, and the President seems to poll better when the country is in fear of terror attacks. One might assume theB/C campaign is likely pleased it came out when it did. But they can’t act like they are and they have to be very careful as it underscores the WH’s failure to capture OBL, so they’re being vary cautious in how they handle it.
    Almost everyone, regardless of which side they’re on, is trying to claim that OBL ‘wants the other guys candidate to win’. We’ve seen for example some Republicans claim AQ wants Kerry to win and we’ve seen the same among some democrats claiming OBL wants Bush to win. Among world analysts there is a consensus that AQ would slightly prefer that Bush remain in power as Bush is disliked among ur western europoean allies and despised in the Muslim world, and this serves the interests of an enemy of the US. But all these claims and counter claims ignore the obvious reason why that tape was released. Americans are so self interested; It’s not about us at all!
    On Osama bin Ladenany side that has the word America in ti.
    This is a very far reaching tactic he’s using BTW. Not only will he claim credit for affecting the election no matter who wins and garner prestige in the Muslim world, the campaign in this country who loses side will immediately take the bait and jump on it shouting “See! You did what OBL wanted you to do!” Thus sowing discord among the electorate and fermenting further division.
    Anyway, that being said I think we can all agree OBL is a figure head representing our sworn enemy who directed an attack on 9-11 killing almost 3000 innocent Americans and that his capture would be a great relief for all Americans. In the immediate aftermath President Bush said “Wanted dead or alive’, one of the few soundbites in all of my adult life uttered by any politician that sums up my feelings perfectly.
    But when I suggested that OBL being on the loose and having the power to come into our living rooms via CNN was a painful reminder that this WH hasn’t yet at least managed to capture or kill him, Joe Carter immediately jumped in to apologize for the WH saying apparently with no sense of remorse or inconsistency shouted “How exactly is he a “threat”? He has no more funding, no base of operations,” etc. And then went on to pitch an unbelievably hysterical phrase of wishful thinking that OBL is actually hurting Al Qaeada by being alive!
    Now clearly he has a base of operations, he was after all in a studio quality video in good health and appearing completely at ease. He clearly can threaten the world as AQ attacks have occurred in Spain and Indonesia and in other places since 9-11. In fact he threaten America directly on that tape. And one would have to be pretty silly, or simply in denial, to seriously believe that sympathetic Muslims from around the world don’t worship the man like a modern day Luke Skywalker fighting the Evil Empire and aren’t funneling money to him anyone they can from oil rich regimes where he’s revered. And as far as ‘hurting’ AQ by not being dead, that’s so laughably chock full of wishful thinking and naivet

  • ~DS~: Brilliant! I expected no less from you to be dismissive and change the subject. I applaud you for meeting every expectation you have set for yourself. But let’s stay on task and get back to OBL later on if you are still inclined at that point.
    First your “cognitive dissonance” that you see in, I assume, those that blindly defend Bush. You slander me with being a Bush supporter and claim I sounded defensive for being so craven as to point out factual problems with claiming knowledge of the “truth” in the al-qaqaa issue. It seems you have cut yourself with your own sword in attacking Bush, and those you believe support him, blindly. Is the purpose of your quest of “deprogramming” a plea for help?
    Secondly, you show your “cognitive dissonance” by stating that reasonable people can disagree on the WH (see the above point for your lack of tolerance) and then claim that it is unreasonable to disagree on how Iraq has progressed. You are truly a pillar of introspection. Despite numerous reasonable arguments from both sides of the perspective you find it unreasonable to disagree and will brook no discourse on the matter. Nor apparently will you stoop to deal with facts presented preferring instead to handle it by moving goalposts or through mere silence.
    Thirdly, you state I was using a “talking point”. Perhaps I was, I don’t stay up on anyone’s talking points. What puzzles me is that you find facts that are also “talking points” worthy of dismissal. Do we dismiss 9/11 because it was pictured in an election advertisment? It is the heighth of “cognitive dissonance” to disregard all facts as mere lies simply for being uncomfortable to your inner child.
    Now for your bullet points -
    1. Clinton – poor analogy. But as you want it, you got it. What was the consequence of that 0.01% failure? A tempest in a teapot blown by his political opponents who sought to demonize him. It is no different than now save which team is at bat. Remember above all, the perfect is the enemy of the good.
    2. You assert that there were lies and misdirections, a “coverup”, that proceeded that point yet fail to present the case. Surely, you would not have fallen to “cognitive dissonance” here? I fail to see a coverup; I do see a WH trying to address the issue as quickly as possible due media furor (see point above). Whether or not it is irresponsible to so respond before full knowledge is known or not is debatable, but at least there is an effort at transparency.
    3. First let me address your “dispassionate analysts”: You assert that there is no difference of opinion on the matter when that is quite false; this relates directly back to your “talking points” problem. Secondly, you assert as fact that not enough troops were used when this is a point that is open for debate. Lastly, you use all your assertions to state that the explosives issue is germane. For the moment let me pretend that it is germane: Your argumentation on this point is of the quality and kind that the WH has used – assumption of fact before all facts are in. I believe you called this at various times lying, misdirection, and a cover up.
    By your argumentation, and with courtesy for your viewpoint and style, then I must declare that you are simply being deceitful, trying to cover up your failings, did not bring enough forces with you to this conflict, cannot argue anything except “talking points”. I must therefore conclude that only “deprogramming” will save you from your “cognitive dissonance”.

  • Mark O says:

    ~DS~
    You ignore my questions, but insist I answer yours. Fine. I’ll try to answer yours.
    To whit: What sort of mistakes could could Bush make that would cause him to lose my support?
    I thought I’d made it clear that IMHO Bush hasn’t made any serious mistakes yet (regarding the execution of the war). However, here are some mistakes he could have made which would have cause him to lose my support.
    Overcommiting our resources without backing at home. For example, if he had attacked Syria, Iran, Lebannon, and North Korea at the same time as Iraq. (as an aside: To match our commitment in WWII we would be throwing $2.5 trillion/year and 30 million soldiers into the fray. Would you have perferred that as our 9/11 response? I don’t think the political climate would have supported it. I’m not sure I would support that.)
    Doing nothing. If for example, after declaring the Bush doctrine and after toppling the Taliban, we had pulled out and done nothing more but “diplomatic and legal actions”. This is what I gather as the Kerry proposal.
    Pulling out of Iraq immediately after getting Saddam.
    Likwise Afghanistan when we get OBL.
    Executing the war in a manner not taking care to minimize the loss of civilian life wherever possible.
    Micro-managing the war. Trying to run the battlefield from Capitol Hill.
    How’s that?
    Now answer my question. What your conception of the purpose of this war? Is it as I suspect, for you against al-Qaeda to the exclusion of other terrorists? Or, do you feel it is a war “making no distinction between terrorists and the states that harbor them”?
    A second question for you. In your considered opinion should Lincoln have pulled the trigger on General Grant? Would you have voted for McClellan in the mid-War election?

  • JBP says:

    DS
    I guess I do not have the time nor the inclination to repeat all the evidence that undermines many of your questionable assertions. Nevertheless, I want to ask you this. How can you possible believe that Kerry would do better? Kerry would do little or nothing because that is what the French and Germans would want him to do. Now that he has made such a big deal about it, he cannot make an foreign policy decision until they approve. And given that Germany has invested so much money in Iran, it is not going to allow us to do anything. Kerry has already telegraphed his thinking by calling terrorism a nuisance like prostitution.
    Being president in a time of war had got to have a pretty steep learning curve. Bush may not be perfect, but at least he is going to fight the terrorists. This is like the deal Lincoln made with Grant: I will make you the commanding general if you take this army and use it.
    I, like liberal Ed Koch, am voting for Bush because he will use the military.
    tgirsch,
    By including the 1000 lives, I have actually included the occupation. While we may have made mistakes, by the standards of any war, this thing has been fairly costless. You belittle Saddam’s military ability, but is that not the essence of tactical thinking: Hit the enemy where it hurts him the most and where he is able to hurt us the least. Would you preferred that we bellowed “on guard” and lined our troops up where Kim will have a sporting chance to kill them all?

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